Prediction: No, school arson is unlikely to drastically increase
next 5 years … something like 100 schools per year burning in America, probably til the end of time. -kulak
Hard disagree; yes society is collapsing, no that doesn’t means any possible collapse will happen.
Humans are animals, and animals are fairly hard-wired to avoid violence among themselves without specific criteria, I won’t put forward an exact theory of the causal factors but one of the criteria is status.
Rough reasoning
Arson can’t be compared to school shootings; arsonists plan to get away, school shooters plan to get on the news
Schools are (failing) status factories; a degree is a status symbol, if the school system sells anything it’s a very very expensive piece of paper that contains status. Long before their raw incompetence in this field reaches children, the adults in their lives will homeschool or pull them away from college. All that is necessary for a school to not become a copy-cat seed to prevent further arson would be to shame the arsonist publicly and loudly with all the tools of manipulation; and why wouldn’t they? They won’t even think about it, a school after an arson will have (at least) 1 teacher assign an essay on “why schools are important” and a few kids will hear the message loud and clear and write “arsonists smell of gas, teehee; smelly” and get praise; that’s simpler and more natural then promising jobs at the end of a masters degree.
Kulak points out that the churches publicly forgave the arsonist (also see families forgive intercity violence) before as a reason why they are dying; why the hell would teachers? Does kulak want it both ways, or expect teachers to not assert some bullshit leftist talking points to the press?